Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, ‘The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.’ When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Equifax Inc. (NYSE:EFX) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can’t easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Equifax
As you can see below, Equifax had US$5.47b of debt at September 2024, down from US$6.00b a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$468.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$5.00b.
The latest balance sheet data shows that Equifax had liabilities of US$1.87b due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.42b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$468.2m and US$1.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$5.82b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Equifax has a titanic market capitalization of US$31.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it’s clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company’s debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Equifax’s debt is 2.9 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn’t want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. On a slightly more positive note, Equifax grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Equifax can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
